闽江流域不同土地利用情景下的径流响应研究

王钰双; 陈芸芝; 卢文芳; 田扬

doi:10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2020.06.005

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

闽江流域不同土地利用情景下的径流响应研究

更新时间：2025-03-12

- 闽江流域不同土地利用情景下的径流响应研究
- The Hydrological Response to Different Land Use Scenarios in the Minjiang River Basin
- 水土保持学报 2020年34卷第6期页码：30-36
- 作者机构：
  
  福州大学空间数据挖掘和信息共享教育部重点实验室, 卫星空间信息技术综合应用国家地方联合工程研究中心, 数字中国研究院(福建),福州,350108
- 作者简介：
  
  [ "王钰双(1995-),女,在读硕士研究生,主要从事资源与生态环境监测研究。E-mail:fzu_wys@163.com" ]
- 基金信息：
  
  中国科学院战略性先导科技专项子课题（XDA23100503）福建省自然科学基金面上项目（2019J01650）
- DOI：10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2020.06.005
  中图分类号： P334
- 纸质出版：2020
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
王钰双, 陈芸芝, 卢文芳, 等. 闽江流域不同土地利用情景下的径流响应研究[J]. 水土保持学报, 2020,34(6):30-36.

WANG Yushuang, CHEN Yunzhi, LU Wenfang, et al. The Hydrological Response to Different Land Use Scenarios in the Minjiang River Basin[J]. 2020, 34(6): 30-36.
王钰双, 陈芸芝, 卢文芳, 等. 闽江流域不同土地利用情景下的径流响应研究[J]. 水土保持学报, 2020,34(6):30-36. DOI： 10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2020.06.005.

WANG Yushuang, CHEN Yunzhi, LU Wenfang, et al. The Hydrological Response to Different Land Use Scenarios in the Minjiang River Basin[J]. 2020, 34(6): 30-36. DOI： 10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2020.06.005.

摘要

通过构建适用于闽江流域的SWAT分布式水文模型，结合情景设置法，分别模拟研究区内不同土地利用情景下的径流过程，以定量分析土地利用变化对流域径流影响。结果表明：（1）经过参数率定的SWAT模型，率定期和验证期的评价指标R2>0.9，NSE>0.8，|PBIAS|<10%，符合模型径流模拟要求，在闽江流域具有良好的适用性；（2）相比闽江流域现状土地利用情景，耕地储备、建设开发情景下流域年均径流量分别增加12.41%，22.89%；植被恢复、分区调控情景下流域年均径流量减少4.09%，1.61%，林地和草地类型能有效减缓地表径流，减小径流年际变化量，而耕地、建设用地类型产流作用明显；（3）结合涵养指数值及丰、枯水期月均径流模拟结果分析，研究流域内林地和草地类型涵养水源、调节径流功能显著，耕地和建设用地类型径流调节能力较差，但前者水源涵养能力相对优于后者；（4）以"闽西北区合理开发耕地，保护森林，闽东北区推广坡度工业"为依据设置的分区调控情景，既能有效减缓与调节流域径流，又能保证区域粮食产量与促进经济发展，实现生态效益与经济效益统一，为闽江流域科学高效、可持续的土地利用规划提供参考。

Abstract

In order to quantitatively analyze the impact of land use changes on runoff in the Minjiang River basin

combined with the scenario setting method

SWAT model was constructed to simulate the runoff process under different land use scenarios in this study. The results showed that: (1) The parameterized SWAT model had good applicability to runoff simulation in the Minjiang River Basin with the evaluation indexes R2>0.9

NSE>0.8

|PBIAS|<10% at calibration and validation periods. (2) When the current land use was set as the reference

the annual runoff increased by 12.41%

22.89% for the farmland reserve scenario and construction development scenario respectively

and decreased by 4.09%

1.61% under the vegetation restoration scenario and zoning scenario

indicating that the forestland and grassland had the stronger mitigation effect on the runoff and reduced the inter annual variation of runoff

while farmland and construction land increased the runoff. (3) Combined with the value of conservation index and the simulation results of monthly average runoff in wet reason and dry periods

it was studied that the forestland and grassland had the stronger capacity of reserving water and regulating runoff

while that of farmland and construction land was weak

but the former was better than the latter. (4) Based on the "reasonable development of farmland and protection of forest in the north of West Fujian

and the promotion of ‘slope industry’ in the north of East Fujian"

the zoning scenario could not only effectively decrease and regulate the runoff of the Minjiang River basin

but also ensure the grain safety and economic development

realize the unity of ecological and economic benefits

and provide reference for the scientific

efficient and sustainable land use planning of the basin.

关键词

Keywords

references

肖文魁.我国土地利用研究进展概述及展望[J].农业与技术,2019(11):37-39.

Sananda K, Deepak K, Arun M. Past, present and future land use changes and their impact on water balance[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2017,197:582-596.

Zhou D P, Xu Z X, Yao W Y, et al. Assessing the effects of changes in land use and climate on runoff and sediment yields from a watershed in the Loess Plateau of China[J].Science of the Total Environment,2016,544:238-250.

渠勇建,成向荣,虞木奎,等.基于SWAT模型的衢江流域土地利用变化径流模拟研究[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(1):130-134.

郭军庭,张志强,王盛萍,等.应用SWAT模型研究潮河流域土地利用和气候变化对径流的影响[J].生态学报,2014,34(6):1559-1567.

李云翊.基于SWAT模型的抚河上游流域土地利用变化情景下的水文响应研究[D].南昌:南昌大学,2018.

Chotpantarat S, Boonkaewwan S. Impacts of land-use changes on watershed discharge and water quality in a large intensive agricultural area in Thailand[J].Hydrological Siences Journal,2018,63(9/12):1386-1407.

秦文静,王云琦,王彬,等.土地利用和气候变化对王家桥小流域径流的影响[J].水文,2019,39(2):51-56.

王博威,李建柱,冯平.土地利用变化对潘家口水库控制流域径流影响[J].水利学报,2018,49(3):379-386.

王学,张祖陆,宁吉才.基于SWAT模型的白马河流域土地利用变化的径流响应[J].生态学杂志,2013,32(1):186-194.

Golmar G, Ramesh R, Trevor D, et al. Predicting the temporal variation of flow contributing areas using SWAT[J].Journal of Hydrology,2017,547:375-386.

杨凯杰,吕昌河.SWAT模型应用与不确定性综述[J].水土保持学报,2018,32(1):17-24,31.

李帅,魏虹,刘媛,等.气候与土地利用变化下宁夏清水河流域径流模拟[J].生态学报,2017,37(4):1252-1260.

He Y, Song J X, Hu Y Y, et al. Impacts of different weather conditions and landuse change on runoff variations in the Beiluo River Watershed, China[J].Sustainable Cities and Society,2019,50:101674.

程学宁,汤云,卢毅敏.基于多元统计分析的闽江水质时空变化特征[J].水资源与水工程学报,2016,27(6):89-94.

王跃峰.闽江流域降水径流时序变化特征与洪旱事件识别[D].福建:福建师范大学,2014.

郭晓英,陈兴伟,陈莹,等.气候变化与人类活动对闽江流域径流变化的影响[J].中国水土保持科学,2016,14(2):88-94.

陈莹,陈兴伟,尹义星.1960-2006年闽江流域径流演变特征[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(8):1401-1411.

王跃峰,陈莹,陈兴伟.基于TFPW-MK法的闽江流域径流趋势研究[J].中国水土保持科学,2013,11(5):96-102.

Gong P, Li X C, Zhang W. 40-Year (1978-2017) human settlement changes in China reflected by impervious surfaces from satellite remote sensing[J].Science Bulletin,2019,64(11):756-763.

姜晓峰,王立,马放,等.SWAT模型土壤数据库的本土化构建方法研究[J].中国给水排水,2014,30(11):135-138.

孙帅,师春香,潘旸,等.CLDAS长序列融合降水在中国区域的适应性评估.中国气象学会.第34届中国气象学会年会S20气象数据:深度应用和标准化论文集.中国气象学会,2017:101.

Jeff A, Daniel M, Philip G, et al. SWAT:Model use, calibration, and validation[J].Transactions of the Asabe,2012,55(4):1491-1508.

季学武,王俊.水文分析计算与水资源评价[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2008.

林怡彤.基于SWAT模型的土地利用变化对流域径流的影响研究[D].南宁:广西大学,2018.

Abbaspour K C, Rouholahnejad E, Vaghefi S, et al. A continental scale hydrology and water quality model for Europe:Calibration and uncertainty of a high-resolution large-scale SWAT model[J].Journal of Hydrology,2015,524:733-752.

White K, Chaubey I. Sensitivity analysis, calibration, and validations for a multisite and multivariable SWAT model[J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association,2005,41(5):1077-1089.

罗巧,王克林,王勤学.基于SWAT模型的湘江流域土地利用变化情景的径流模拟研究[J].中国生态农业学报,2011,19(6):1431-1436.

Moriasi D, Arnold J, VanLiew M, et al. Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations[J].Transactions of the Asabe,2007,50(3):885-900.

张章新.闽江流域水文特性分析[J].水文,2000,20(6):55-58.

郝芳华,陈利群,刘昌明,等.土地利用变化对产流和产沙的影响分析[J].水土保持学报,2004,18(3):5-8.

林炳青.流域景观格局变化对不同时间尺度径流影响的SWAT模型分析[D].福建:福建师范大学,2014.

浏览量

1569

下载量

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

提交

工具集

关联资源

基于SWAT和PLUS模型的窟野河流域径流对土地利用变化的响应及预测

气候和土地利用变化情景下闽江流域水沙变化模拟

基于PLUS-InVEST模型的三峡库区土地利用变化与土壤侵蚀多情景预测

基于RegCM 4.7的中国土地利用变化对区域气候的影响

耦合气候与土地利用变化的洱海流域径流预测及影响机制