Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction Analysis of Habitat Quality in Yulin City Coupled with InVEST-PLUS Model

JI Yongfan; JIA Lujing; YANG Lian'an; LI Yali; DONG Qianghua

doi:10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2023.01.018

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Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction Analysis of Habitat Quality in Yulin City Coupled with InVEST-PLUS Model

更新时间：2025-03-12

- Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction Analysis of Habitat Quality in Yulin City Coupled with InVEST-PLUS Model
- Vol. 37, Issue 1, Pages: 123-132(2023)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 西北大学陕西省地表系统与环境承载力重点实验室,西安,710127
  2. 陕西省黄河研究院,西安,710127
  3. 西北大学城市与环境学院,西安,710127
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2023.01.018
  CLC： X37;Q149
- Published：2023
- 稿件说明：
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JI Yongfan, JIA Lujing, YANG Lian'an, et al. Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction Analysis of Habitat Quality in Yulin City Coupled with InVEST-PLUS Model[J]. 2023, 37(1): 123-132.
DOI：

JI Yongfan, JIA Lujing, YANG Lian'an, et al. Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction Analysis of Habitat Quality in Yulin City Coupled with InVEST-PLUS Model[J]. 2023, 37(1): 123-132. DOI： 10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2023.01.018.

摘要

生境质量是衡量一个地区生态环境优劣的重要参考指标

土地利用变化研究可为区域生境质量时空动态演变特征评估提供科学依据。基于1980年、2000年、2018年土地利用数据

通过InVEST模型、PLUS模型、地理信息图谱法分析并预测榆林市土地利用变化情况

以此探究陕西省榆林市生境质量时空演变特征。结果表明:(1)榆林市景观基质主要由草地和耕地构成

林地和未利用地次之

水域和建设用地占比相对较少

退耕还林政策的实施、治沙工程的开展

以及建设用地的开发是土地利用变化的主要驱动因素。(2)从区域整体分析

1980年、2000年、2018年、2030年生境质量平均值分别为0.502 8

0.520 9

0.518 3

0.525 9

生境值总体变化不大

呈现先增后降再增的波动变化趋势。从空间格局分析

榆林市生境质量分布具有一定的规律性

整体呈现东高西低的格局。生境退化平均值分别为0.029 8

0.028 9

0.029 2

0.028 3

具有生境退化的威胁。研究结果对榆林市自然环境的保护和生境质量的提高具有理论支持和政策意义。

Abstract

Habitat quality is an important reference index to measure the quality of a region’s ecological environment

and research on land use change can provide a scientific basis for evaluating the spatio-temporal dynamic evolution characteristics of regional habitat quality. Based on the land use data in 1980

2000 and 2018

this paper analyzes and predicts the change of land use in Yulin City through the InVEST model

PLUS model

and geographic information map method

so as to explore the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of habitat quality in Yulin City

Shaanxi Province. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The landscape matrix in Yulin City is mainly composed of grassland and cultivated land

followed by forest land and unused land

while water and construction land account for a relatively small proportion. The implementation of the policy of returning farmland to forest

the development of desertification control projects

and the development of construction land are the main driving factors of land use change. (2) From the overall analysis of the region

the average habitat quality in 1980

2000

2018 and 2030 is 0.502 8

0.520 9

0.518 3 and 0.525 9

respectively. The overall habitat value does not change much

showing a fluctuating trend of first increase

then decrease and then increase. From the analysis of the spatial pattern

the distribution of habitat quality in Yulin City has a certain regularity

and the overall pattern is high in the east and low in the west. The average value of habitat degradation in Yulin City is 0.029 8

0.028 9

0.029 2 and 0.028 3

respectively

indicating the threat of habitat degradation. The research results have theoretical support and policy significance for the protection of the natural environment and the improvement of habitat quality in Yulin City.

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