西南林业大学水土保持学院,昆明 650224
周昌焰(2000—),男,硕士研究生,主要从事生态系统服务与区域发展研究。E-mail: changyanzhou@126.com
马月伟(1980—),男,博士,副教授,硕士生导师,主要从事区域发展、生态系统服务与遗产保护研究。E-mail: mayuewei007@126.com
收稿:2026-04-20,
修回:2026-06-11,
录用:2026-06-18,
网络首发:2026-08-27,
纸质出版:2026-10-28
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周昌焰,黄艳春,马月伟,等.顾及空间尺度的滇中城市群生态系统服务权衡关系[J].水土保持学报,2026,40(5):483-496.
Zhou Changyan, Huang Yanchun, Ma Yuewei, et al. Ecosystem service trade-offs in Central Yunnan urban agglomeration considering spatial scales[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation,2026,40(5):483-496.
周昌焰,黄艳春,马月伟,等.顾及空间尺度的滇中城市群生态系统服务权衡关系[J].水土保持学报,2026,40(5):483-496. DOI: 10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2026.05.041. CSTR: 32310.14.stbcxb.2026.05.041.
Zhou Changyan, Huang Yanchun, Ma Yuewei, et al. Ecosystem service trade-offs in Central Yunnan urban agglomeration considering spatial scales[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation,2026,40(5):483-496. DOI: 10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2026.05.041. CSTR: 32310.14.stbcxb.2026.05.041.
目的
2
探明滇中城市群不同空间尺度下生态系统服务的时空格局,深度揭示服务间权衡协同关系的尺度依赖效应与非线性演变规律。
方法
2
基于InVEST模型、MaxEnt模型及GIS空间分析,对2003—2023年滇中城市群6类关键生态系统服务进行量化评估;综合运用皮尔逊相关分析、双变量空间自相关及生产可能性边界-边际转换率(PPF-MRT)模型,系统解析各服务的时空演变特征、多尺度权衡强度及相变阈值。
结果
2
1)2003—2023年,研究区产水量、土壤保持量、粮食供给量与休闲游憩服务增幅均超20%,碳储量与生境质量呈先降后升波动特征;空间上形成外围屏障区主导
调节与生产、核心城镇区主导休闲游憩的功能互补格局。2)生态系统服务权衡与协同具有显著尺度依赖性,格网尺度受土地排他性制约呈绝对权衡,县域尺度因空间缓冲效应转化为结构性区间约束,权衡关系未因尺度上推而根本消解。3)PPF-MRT模型精准测度服务转换的非线性边界,格网尺度下碳储量-休闲游憩与土壤保持-产水量分别在跨越阈值
X
0
=0.235与
X
0
=0.147后由协同转负向权衡;县域尺度下粮食供给-生境质量在主体区间0.077
<
X
<
0.832内呈稳定负向权衡。
结论
2
滇中城市群生态系统服务权衡关系具有显著的尺度依赖性,意味着需以非线性相变阈值为基础,构建多尺度嵌套的空间管治策略,统筹微观底线约束与宏观功能协同,以推进喀斯特石漠化地区的生态修复与可持续治理。
Objective
2
This study aims to identify the spatiotemporal patterns of ecosystem services (ES) across multiple spatial scales in the central Yunnan urban agglomeration (CYUA), and to provide an in-depth analysis of the scale-dependent effects and non-linear evolutionary patterns of ES trade-offs and synergies.
Methods
2
Six critical ESs from 2003 to 2023 were quantified utilizing the InVEST model, MaxEnt model, and GIS-based spatial analysis. Furthermore, the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics, multi-scale trade-off intensities, and phase-transition thresholds of each service were systematically analyzed through an integrated framework comprising Pearson correlation analysis, bivariate spatial autocorrelation, and the production possibility frontier-marginal rate of transformation (PPF-MRT) model.
Results
2
1) Between 2003 and 2023, water yield, soil conservation, food supply, and leisure and recreation services in the study area increased by over 20%, while carbon storage and habitat quality exhibited a fluctuating pattern of first decreasing and then increasing. Spatially, a complementary functional pattern was formed, characterized by peripheral barrier zones dominated by regulation and production functions, and core urban areas dominated by recreational functions. 2) Ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies exhibited significant scale dependency. Constrained by the physical exclusivity of land use, the grid scale manife
sted absolute trade-offs. Conversely, due to spatial buffering effects, the county scale transformed into structural interval constraints, indicating that trade-off relationships were not fundamentally eliminated by the upward shift in scale. 3) The PPF-MRT model precisely delineated the non-linear boundaries of service transitions. At the grid scale, carbon storage-leisure and recreation and soil conservation-water yield shifted from synergy to negative trade-offs after crossing the thresholds of
X
0
=0.235 and
X
0
=0.147, respectively. At the county scale, food supply-habitat quality exhibited a stable negative trade-off within the primary interval of 0.077
<
X
<
0.832.
Conclusion
2
The trade-off relationships among ESs in the central Yunnan urban agglomeration exhibit significant scale dependency. This necessitates the development of multi-scale nested spatial governance strategies rooted in non-linear phase-transition thresholds. By integrating micro-level baseline constraints with macro-level functional synergies, such strategies can effectively advance ecological restoration and sustainable governance in karst rocky desertification areas.
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